NASDAQ · STOCK
Builders FirstSource
$75.68
52W $65.10 – $151.03
52/100
$8.50B
27.9
1.41
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 43% agreement on a neutral lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Growth Analyst: Revenue declining -8.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-1.265) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 13.7% downside vs 3.8% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 27.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
22
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -8.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.265
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$65.33
Resistance
$78.58
Bollinger %B
0.25
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$79.18
Below
EMA 21
$79.94
Below
EMA 50
$80.57
Below
EMA 200
$97.31
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
8
Profitability
24
Financial Health
81
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.9×
P/B Ratio
2.61×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
52W High
$151.03
52W Low
$65.10
Quality & Growth
ROE
692.0%
ROA
257.0%
Gross Margin
2989.0%
Operating Margin
417.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
-833.0%
Debt / Equity
1.02
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 27.9 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.6x; Revenue growth (YoY) of -8.3%; EPS growth (YoY) of -66.4%; Return on equity of 6.9%; Return on assets of 2.6%; Net margin of 2.0%; Gross margin of 29.9%; Current ratio of 1.86 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.02; Most recent quarter missed estimates by 28.4%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (-40.4% -> -75.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-1.265) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 13.7% downside vs 3.8% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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