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Casey's

CASY Retail Unknown Updated July 11, 2026
$819.40
52W $490.00 – $927.85
61/100
$30.42B
43.1
0.62
Price History (6M)
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
Conviction: Contested · 57% agreement · 7 analysts
-9.7%
75%
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 57% agreement on a bullish lean. Growth Analyst: EPS growing 30.9% YoY. Risk Analyst: Bollinger bandwidth of 18.9% signals elevated volatility. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
  • Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
  • Weekly trend: uptrend.
  • Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
  • Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
  • Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
Insufficient data for bear case.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst neutral
42 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 18.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 42.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst bullish
79 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 30.9% YoY
Technical Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst bullish
66 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 26 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bullish
75 / 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
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Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.374
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.46
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$813.74 Above
EMA 21
$813.75 Above
EMA 50
$804.24 Above
EMA 200
$692.54 Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
2
Growth
81
Profitability
52
Financial Health
56
Valuation
P/E Ratio 43.1×
P/B Ratio 7.69×
PEG Ratio
Dividend Yield 0.31%
52W High $927.85
52W Low $490.00
Quality & Growth
ROE 1873.0%
ROA 829.0%
Gross Margin 2461.0%
Operating Margin 589.0%
Revenue Growth YoY +1016.0%
Debt / Equity 0.62
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 43.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.7x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 10.2%; EPS growth (YoY) of 30.9%; Return on equity of 18.7%; Return on assets of 8.3%; Net margin of 4.1%; Gross margin of 24.6%; Current ratio of 1.01 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.62; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 30.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-36.9% -> +25.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
Risk data not available for CASY.
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