NASDAQ · STOCK
Crocs
$127.98
52W $73.21 – $140.42
50/100
$6.36B
11.0
1.55
Is CROX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Crocs (CROX) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.51 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.49 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 15.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -7.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -1.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- RSI at 30 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 70%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -7.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -1.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 30 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened significantly from 63.1 to 50.5.
- Recommendation changed from Buy to Watch.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell modestly from 80% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 6 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst, Technical Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 82->60 (-22); +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst joined: bearish at 35.
- Technical Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 61->54 (-8); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst joined: neutral at 42.
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.339
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$125.60
Resistance
$130.34
Bollinger %B
0.31
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$131.27
Below
EMA 21
$130.51
Below
EMA 50
$123.99
Above
EMA 200
$105.57
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
84
Growth
88
Profitability
0
Financial Health
79
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.0×
P/B Ratio
4.59×
PEG Ratio
-0.03
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$140.42
52W Low
$73.21
Quality & Growth
ROE
-6.3%
ROA
-1.9%
Gross Margin
57.5%
Operating Margin
20.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.28
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.6x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.1%; Return on assets of -0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.6%; Current ratio of 1.49 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.28; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (14.18); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+30.6% -> +52.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 7.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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