NASDAQ · STOCK
D. R. Horton
$151.55
52W $129.11 – $184.55
63/100
$42.41B
13.4
1.37
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 71% agreement on a bullish lean. Risk Analyst: Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Growth Analyst: Revenue declining -5.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Bullish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Morning Star.
- Bullish candlestick patterns signal potential reversal or continuation of upside.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-1.672) — bearish momentum.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 7.6% downside vs 1.7% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.5 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -5.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
39.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.672
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$140.10
Resistance
$154.18
Bollinger %B
0.23
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$154.47
Below
EMA 21
$154.89
Below
EMA 50
$152.26
Below
EMA 200
$150.13
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
34
Profitability
53
Financial Health
100
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.4×
P/B Ratio
2.06×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
1.20%
52W High
$184.55
52W Low
$129.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
1324.0%
ROA
893.0%
Gross Margin
2314.0%
Operating Margin
1268.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
-557.0%
Debt / Equity
0.25
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; Revenue growth (YoY) of -5.6%; EPS growth (YoY) of -19.2%; Return on equity of 13.2%; Return on assets of 8.9%; Net margin of 9.5%; Gross margin of 23.1%; Current ratio of 4.66 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.25; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.0%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-33.2% -> +10.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-1.672) — bearish momentum.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 7.6% downside vs 1.7% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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