NASDAQ · STOCK
Domino's
$347.60
52W $282.00 – $469.00
54/100
$11.49B
19.6
0.97
Is DPZ Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Domino's (DPZ) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.02 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.98 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — roe of 31.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 22.2% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 31.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 95 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 22.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 41%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 31.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 95 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.0 to 54.0.
- Committee agreement increased modestly from 50% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 52->48 (-4).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 48->58 (+10).
- Value Analyst joined: bullish at 68.
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
3.717
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$330.15
Resistance
$352.15
Bollinger %B
0.81
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$341.62
Above
EMA 21
$329.18
Above
EMA 50
$324.34
Above
EMA 200
$364.36
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
60
Growth
46
Profitability
1
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.6×
P/B Ratio
-2.91×
PEG Ratio
9.19
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$469.00
52W Low
$282.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
-15.4%
ROA
33.4%
Gross Margin
40.0%
Operating Margin
19.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-1.29
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -2.9x; PEG ratio of 9.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.2%; Return on assets of 0.3%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.54 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -1.29; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (19.61); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 3.4%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-26.0% -> +2.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 6.8%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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