NASDAQ · STOCK
Eagle Materials
$205.28
52W $171.99 – $245.53
56/100
$6.29B
16.1
1.38
Is EXP Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Eagle Materials (EXP) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.38 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.62 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 28.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.39 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -4.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 46%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 4.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -4.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 52.5 to 55.6.
- High-conviction consensus weakened -- analysts became more divided.
- Committee agreement fell sharply from 83% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 55->62 (+7); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.084
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$203.44
Resistance
$205.93
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$209.56
Below
EMA 21
$210.89
Below
EMA 50
$211.60
Below
EMA 200
$213.88
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
84
Growth
48
Profitability
1
Financial Health
87
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.1×
P/B Ratio
4.26×
PEG Ratio
-2.32
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$245.53
52W Low
$171.99
Quality & Growth
ROE
28.7%
ROA
11.0%
Gross Margin
27.0%
Operating Margin
23.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.3x; PEG ratio of -2.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 3.23 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.01; Free cash flow margin of 0.3% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.51); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 3.0%; EPS growth accelerating (-40.7% -> +72.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -12.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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