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Expedia Group

EXPE Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure Unknown Updated July 11, 2026
$270.52
52W $174.05 – $303.80
61/100
$32.14B
21.4
1.27
Price History (6M)
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
Conviction: Contested · 71% agreement · 7 analysts
+3.2%
-18.9%
0.17:1
100%
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 71% agreement on a bullish lean. Growth Analyst: EPS growing 34.2% YoY. Risk Analyst: High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.80) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
  • Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
  • Daily trend: uptrend.
  • Weekly trend: uptrend.
  • Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
  • Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
Bear Case
  • Risk/reward is unfavorable: 18.9% downside vs 3.2% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst neutral
50 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 147.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 27.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst bullish
77 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 34.2% YoY
Technical Analyst bullish
63 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst bearish
33 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.80) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager bullish
75 / 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
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Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.103
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$219.53
Resistance
$279.32
Bollinger %B
0.79
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$264.15 Above
EMA 21
$254.70 Above
EMA 50
$245.09 Above
EMA 200
$234.44 Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
37
Growth
75
Profitability
77
Financial Health
0
Valuation
P/E Ratio 21.4×
P/B Ratio 27.04×
PEG Ratio
Dividend Yield 0.74%
52W High $303.80
52W Low $174.05
Quality & Growth
ROE 14758.0%
ROA 578.0%
Gross Margin 9027.0%
Operating Margin 1447.0%
Revenue Growth YoY +1001.0%
Debt / Equity 4.80
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 27.0x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 10.0%; EPS growth (YoY) of 34.2%; Return on equity of 147.6%; Return on assets of 5.8%; Net margin of 9.8%; Gross margin of 90.3%; Current ratio of 0.73 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.80; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 38.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (-50.1% -> -48.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
  • Risk/reward is unfavorable: 18.9% downside vs 3.2% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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