NASDAQ · STOCK
Floor & Decor
$57.59
52W $42.64 – $92.41
56/100
$6.22B
26.8
1.58
Is FND Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Floor & Decor (FND) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 7 analysts with 86% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.05 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.95 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.08) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.08) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.58 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.0 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -2.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
86%
Analysts
7
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 31%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 30.0 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -2.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.08) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.0 to 56.0.
- Conviction strengthened -- analysts aligned more closely.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 57% to 86%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-7).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
61.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.021
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$55.33
Resistance
$60.23
Bollinger %B
0.83
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$55.76
Above
EMA 21
$55.42
Above
EMA 50
$54.40
Above
EMA 200
$60.19
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
50
Growth
53
Profitability
0
Financial Health
65
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.8×
P/B Ratio
2.49×
PEG Ratio
2.76
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$92.41
52W Low
$42.64
Quality & Growth
ROE
8.7%
ROA
3.8%
Gross Margin
42.4%
Operating Margin
6.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.8 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of 2.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.33 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.81; Free cash flow margin of 0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.96); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.3%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+56.8% -> +0.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 0.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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