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McDonald's Corporation

MCD Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure Unknown Updated July 11, 2026
$274.56
52W $264.53 – $341.75
54/100
$200.57B
22.8
0.42
Price History (6M)
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
Conviction: Contested · 43% agreement · 7 analysts
+13.8%
75%
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 43% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Risk Analyst: High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.40) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
  • Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
  • Weekly trend: uptrend.
  • Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
  • Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
  • Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
  • Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
  • Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Bearish Engulfing.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst neutral
50 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 95.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 15.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst neutral
46 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst bearish
32 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.40) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst bullish
68 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 88 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bullish
75 / 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
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Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.744
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Bollinger %B
0.42
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$276.10 Below
EMA 21
$276.59 Below
EMA 50
$281.90 Below
EMA 200
$297.36 Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
34
Growth
48
Profitability
98
Financial Health
6
Valuation
P/E Ratio 22.8×
P/B Ratio 15.30×
PEG Ratio
Dividend Yield 2.64%
52W High $341.75
52W Low $264.53
Quality & Growth
ROE 9513.0%
ROA 1448.0%
Gross Margin 5735.0%
Operating Margin 4626.0%
Revenue Growth YoY +677.0%
Debt / Equity 3.40
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 22.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 15.3x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 6.8%; EPS growth (YoY) of 7.0%; Return on equity of 95.1%; Return on assets of 14.5%; Net margin of 31.6%; Gross margin of 57.4%; Current ratio of 0.95 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.40; Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Key Risks
  • Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
  • Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
  • Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Bearish Engulfing.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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