NASDAQ · STOCK
MGM Resorts
$44.55
52W $29.19 – $51.59
46/100
$11.21B
26.7
1.29
Is MGM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates MGM Resorts (MGM) Watch with a composite score of 46/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +14.07 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -5.93 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 33 articles, 14d). Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 61.2 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 33 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 61.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.67 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -69.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.67) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
46/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 96%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bearish
28
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 61.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -69.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.67) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 33 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.3 to 45.9.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
28.7
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.221
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$35.38
Resistance
$51.59
Bollinger %B
-0.09
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$45.66
Below
EMA 21
$46.04
Below
EMA 50
$45.10
Below
EMA 200
$40.22
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
69
Growth
53
Profitability
0
Financial Health
22
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.7×
P/B Ratio
4.50×
PEG Ratio
-3.05
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$51.59
52W Low
$29.19
Quality & Growth
ROE
8.5%
ROA
0.5%
Gross Margin
44.2%
Operating Margin
5.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
11.87
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.7 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.5x; PEG ratio of -3.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.33 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 11.87; Free cash flow margin of 0.6% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (6.58); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.9%; EPS growth accelerating (-14.0% -> +20.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -25.3%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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