NASDAQ · STOCK
Progressive Corporation
$230.67
52W $189.20 – $260.10
64/100
$137.16B
11.9
0.26
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 71% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Value Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 11.7 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 4.4x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 32.6% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.23) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.09 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 34 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
65.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.086
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$230.22
Resistance
$237.22
Bollinger %B
0.77
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$227.79
Above
EMA 21
$219.84
Above
EMA 50
$211.25
Above
EMA 200
$215.45
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
78
Growth
88
Profitability
87
Financial Health
50
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.9×
P/B Ratio
4.40×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
0.17%
52W High
$260.10
52W Low
$189.20
Quality & Growth
ROE
3545.0%
ROA
959.0%
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
1659.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+1389.0%
Debt / Equity
0.23
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 11.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.4x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 13.9%; EPS growth (YoY) of 32.6%; Return on equity of 35.4%; Return on assets of 9.6%; Net margin of 12.9%; Current ratio of 0.09 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.23; Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Key Risks
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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