NASDAQ · STOCK
Starbucks Corporation
$106.00
52W $77.99 – $108.88
52/100
$118.31B
78.8
0.98
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 43% agreement on a bearish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Growth Analyst: EPS declining -52.4% YoY despite any revenue growth. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Daily uptrend conflicts with weekly downtrend — buying against the higher timeframe trend is higher risk.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 11.6% downside vs 2.7% upside.
- Fundamental score is weak (16.1/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ ROE of 115.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 80.8 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -52.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 8.07) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.383
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$93.76
Resistance
$108.86
Bollinger %B
0.94
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$104.24
Above
EMA 21
$102.93
Above
EMA 50
$101.52
Above
EMA 200
$96.07
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
22
Profitability
43
Financial Health
0
Valuation
P/E Ratio
78.8×
P/B Ratio
64.12×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
2.39%
52W High
$108.88
52W Low
$77.99
Quality & Growth
ROE
11568.0%
ROA
466.0%
Gross Margin
2190.0%
Operating Margin
762.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+584.0%
Debt / Equity
8.07
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 78.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 64.1x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 5.8%; EPS growth (YoY) of -52.4%; Return on equity of 115.7%; Return on assets of 4.7%; Net margin of 3.9%; Gross margin of 21.9%; Current ratio of 0.72 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 8.07; Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Key Risks
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 11.6% downside vs 2.7% upside.
- Fundamental score is weak (16.1/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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