NASDAQ · STOCK
Silgan Holdings
$39.98
52W $35.68 – $49.55
49/100
$4.23B
15.7
0.66
Is SLGN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Silgan Holdings (SLGN) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.38 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.62 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 32 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.91) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 32 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.91 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -1.5% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.91) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 84%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Debt-to-equity of 1.91 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -1.5% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.91) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 32 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened significantly from 62.4 to 48.6.
- Recommendation changed from Buy to Watch.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 60% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 6 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 85->48 (-37); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst joined: bearish at 30.
- Technical Analyst: score 54->46 (-8); +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst joined: neutral at 50.
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
24.2
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.820
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$38.72
Resistance
$40.43
Bollinger %B
-0.14
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$43.79
Below
EMA 21
$44.37
Below
EMA 50
$43.27
Below
EMA 200
$43.05
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
98
Growth
56
Profitability
0
Financial Health
62
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.7×
P/B Ratio
1.78×
PEG Ratio
-1.58
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$49.55
52W Low
$35.68
Quality & Growth
ROE
12.7%
ROA
3.1%
Gross Margin
17.1%
Operating Margin
9.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.03
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.8x; PEG ratio of -1.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 2.15 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.03; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.24); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.1%; EPS growth accelerating (+16.4% -> +25.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -3.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full SLGN Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →