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Tesla Inc

TSLA Consumer Cyclical Unknown Updated July 11, 2026
$407.43
52W $297.82 – $498.83
56/100
$1450347.00T
338.8
1.80
Price History (6M)
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
Conviction: Contested · 43% agreement · 7 analysts
+0.5%
-4.9%
0.09:1
100%
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 43% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Growth Analyst: EPS declining -39.1% YoY despite any revenue growth. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
  • Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
  • Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
  • Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
  • Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
  • Risk/reward is unfavorable: 4.9% downside vs 0.5% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 396.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst bearish
32 / 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -39.1% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst bullish
61 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.10) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst neutral
60 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager bullish
75 / 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
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Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.648
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$387.53
Resistance
$409.28
Bollinger %B
0.67
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$404.22 Above
EMA 21
$401.22 Above
EMA 50
$402.56 Above
EMA 200
$403.49 Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
51
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio 338.8×
P/B Ratio 15.68×
PEG Ratio -8.67
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $498.83
52W Low $297.82
Quality & Growth
ROE 4.6%
ROA 2.8%
Gross Margin 19.1%
Operating Margin 5.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.11
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 338.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 15.7x; PEG ratio of -8.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 2.04 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.11; Free cash flow margin of 0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (2.16); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.7%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+0.0% -> -18.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 131.3%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
  • Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
  • Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
  • Risk/reward is unfavorable: 4.9% downside vs 0.5% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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