NASDAQ · STOCK
Tesla Inc
$309.55
52W $297.38 – $498.83
48/100
$1.23T
263.7
1.80
Is TSLA Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Tesla Inc (TSLA) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.05 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.95 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 243 articles, 14d). Technical Analyst remains cautious — price structure making lower highs and lower lows. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.10) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.83 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 243 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 320.5 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 18.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only 4.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -37.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 25 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 90%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 320.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− EPS declining -37.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.10) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 44.8% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 243 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 48.4 to 48.0.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 6 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 60->64 (+4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
28.0
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-7.207
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$297.82
Resistance
$313.80
Bollinger %B
0.19
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$324.55
Below
EMA 21
$351.40
Below
EMA 50
$375.99
Below
EMA 200
$395.80
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
54
Profitability
0
Financial Health
98
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
263.7×
P/B Ratio
11.60×
PEG Ratio
-7.02
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$498.83
52W Low
$297.38
Quality & Growth
ROE
4.6%
ROA
2.8%
Gross Margin
18.9%
Operating Margin
4.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.11
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 263.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 11.6x; PEG ratio of -7.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 1.94 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.11; Free cash flow margin of 0.3% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.78); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 36.4%; EPS growth roughly steady (-18.0% -> -19.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 126.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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