NASDAQ · STOCK
Texas Roadhouse
$205.41
52W $153.83 – $210.24
58/100
$13.50B
32.8
0.80
Is TXRH Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.11 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.89 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — news sentiment is positive (+0.57 across 7 articles, 14d) — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 28.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.8 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 7.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -3.5% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- RSI at 76 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.50 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 19%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 28.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 32.8 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -3.5% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 76 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.50 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
76
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.57 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.2 to 57.9.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 71->76 (+5); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 62->55 (-7); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
66.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.983
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$181.24
Resistance
$205.66
Bollinger %B
0.85
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$201.71
Above
EMA 21
$195.79
Above
EMA 50
$187.26
Above
EMA 200
$177.76
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
43
Growth
65
Profitability
1
Financial Health
45
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.8×
P/B Ratio
8.93×
PEG Ratio
-8.55
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$210.24
52W Low
$153.83
Quality & Growth
ROE
27.8%
ROA
11.4%
Gross Margin
14.0%
Operating Margin
8.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.69
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.9x; PEG ratio of -8.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 0.46 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.69; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.47); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.0%; EPS growth accelerating (+2.4% -> +46.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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