NASDAQ · STOCK
Albertsons
$11.57
52W $10.86 – $20.02
46/100
$5.67B
144.8
0.25
Is ACI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Albertsons (ACI) Watch with a composite score of 46/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +14.41 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -5.59 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 5.9% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 85.7 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only 2.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.87 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -95.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
46/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 96%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bearish
29
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 5.9% pays you to wait
− P/E of 85.7 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -95.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.87) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 46.7 to 45.6.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
30.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.237
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Bollinger %B
0.18
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$12.24
Below
EMA 21
$13.12
Below
EMA 50
$14.20
Below
EMA 200
$16.43
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
56
Growth
43
Profitability
0
Financial Health
2
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
144.8×
P/B Ratio
3.66×
PEG Ratio
-1.52
Dividend Yield
0.06%
52W High
$20.02
52W Low
$10.86
Quality & Growth
ROE
11.8%
ROA
0.8%
Gross Margin
26.5%
Operating Margin
0.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
9.74
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 144.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.7x; PEG ratio of -1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 0.84 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 9.74; Free cash flow margin of 0.6% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (4.45); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 23.1%; EPS growth accelerating (-33.3% -> -12.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -23.6%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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