NASDAQ · STOCK
Church & Dwight
$99.08
52W $81.33 – $106.04
57/100
$23.41B
31.7
0.47
Is CHD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Church & Dwight (CHD) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.92 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.08 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing) — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 17.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 30.1% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 31.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 24%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 17.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 31.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 30.1% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.2 to 57.1.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 72->53 (-19); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
56.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.163
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$98.63
Resistance
$99.84
Bollinger %B
0.77
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$98.37
Above
EMA 21
$97.82
Above
EMA 50
$97.13
Above
EMA 200
$95.38
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
58
Growth
44
Profitability
1
Financial Health
64
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
31.7×
P/B Ratio
5.38×
PEG Ratio
0.69
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$106.04
52W Low
$81.33
Quality & Growth
ROE
18.4%
ROA
8.3%
Gross Margin
45.6%
Operating Margin
17.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.52
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.4x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 1.15 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.52; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (4.71); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.7%; EPS growth decelerating (+10.5% -> -6.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -5.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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