NASDAQ · STOCK
Costco
$916.05
52W $844.06 – $1096.50
62/100
$420.33B
47.8
0.87
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 57% agreement on a neutral lean. Risk Analyst: Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Bullish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Hammer.
- Bullish candlestick patterns signal potential reversal or continuation of upside.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-1.460) — bearish momentum.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 1.4% downside vs 0.8% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 28.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 46.0 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
32.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.460
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$903.71
Resistance
$923.48
Bollinger %B
0.05
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$936.63
Below
EMA 21
$951.00
Below
EMA 50
$970.67
Below
EMA 200
$968.31
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
57
Profitability
54
Financial Health
60
Valuation
P/E Ratio
47.8×
P/B Ratio
14.34×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
0.62%
52W High
$1096.50
52W Low
$844.06
Quality & Growth
ROE
2827.0%
ROA
1071.0%
Gross Margin
1288.0%
Operating Margin
382.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+923.0%
Debt / Equity
0.25
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 47.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.3x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 9.2%; EPS growth (YoY) of 12.8%; Return on equity of 28.3%; Return on assets of 10.7%; Net margin of 3.0%; Gross margin of 12.9%; Current ratio of 1.03 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.25; Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.9%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+1.8% -> +7.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-1.460) — bearish momentum.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 1.4% downside vs 0.8% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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