NASDAQ · STOCK
Constellation Brands
$130.23
52W $126.45 – $174.32
57/100
$22.24B
12.4
0.38
Is STZ Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Constellation Brands (STZ) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.01 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.99 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — p/e of 12.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 23.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -10.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 12%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 12.1 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -10.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.0 to 57.0.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 58->53 (-4).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +2 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.228
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$126.51
Resistance
$167.53
Bollinger %B
0.28
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$131.09
Below
EMA 21
$132.94
Below
EMA 50
$137.54
Below
EMA 200
$148.53
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
94
Growth
91
Profitability
1
Financial Health
35
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.4×
P/B Ratio
2.72×
PEG Ratio
0.02
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$174.32
52W Low
$126.45
Quality & Growth
ROE
20.9%
ROA
7.7%
Gross Margin
52.6%
Operating Margin
32.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.28
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 12.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 0.91 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.28; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (10.65); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-37.9% -> +80.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full STZ Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →