NASDAQ · STOCK
Constellation Brands
$130.23
52W $126.45 – $174.32
59/100
$22.24B
12.4
0.38
Is STZ Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Constellation Brands (STZ) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.93 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.07 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.2 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 23.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -10.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 8%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 12.2 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -10.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.0 to 59.1.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.228
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$126.51
Resistance
$167.53
Bollinger %B
0.28
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$131.09
Below
EMA 21
$132.94
Below
EMA 50
$137.54
Below
EMA 200
$148.53
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
94
Growth
91
Profitability
1
Financial Health
35
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.4×
P/B Ratio
2.72×
PEG Ratio
0.02
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$174.32
52W Low
$126.45
Quality & Growth
ROE
20.9%
ROA
7.7%
Gross Margin
52.6%
Operating Margin
32.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.28
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 12.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 0.91 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.28; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (10.65); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-37.9% -> +80.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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