NASDAQ · STOCK
Dollar Tree
$124.92
52W $84.71 – $142.40
59/100
$23.24B
18.3
0.67
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 50% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Growth Analyst: Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Daily uptrend conflicts with weekly downtrend — buying against the higher timeframe trend is higher risk.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.037) — bearish momentum.
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 35 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.036
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$124.88
Resistance
$138.85
Bollinger %B
0.82
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$121.92
Above
EMA 21
$117.96
Above
EMA 50
$112.24
Above
EMA 200
$108.81
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
57
Growth
80
Profitability
67
Financial Health
57
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.3×
P/B Ratio
6.21×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
52W High
$142.40
52W Low
$84.71
Quality & Growth
ROE
3590.0%
ROA
947.0%
Gross Margin
3671.0%
Operating Margin
885.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+5133.0%
Debt / Equity
0.65
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.2x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 51.3%; Return on equity of 35.9%; Return on assets of 9.5%; Net margin of 6.5%; Gross margin of 36.7%; Current ratio of 1.07 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.65; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.6%; EPS growth decelerating (+111.6% -> -32.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.037) — bearish momentum.
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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