NASDAQ · STOCK
The Marzetti Company
$106.68
52W $104.28 – $190.96
59/100
$2.93B
16.7
0.34
Is MZTI Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates The Marzetti Company (MZTI) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.83 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.17 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+1.00 across 1 articles, 14d). Growth Analyst remains cautious — 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 17.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.7% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 4%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 17.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 4.8x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
90
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+1.00 across 1 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.2 to 59.2.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.045
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$104.34
Resistance
$117.64
Bollinger %B
0.24
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$108.44
Below
EMA 21
$109.41
Below
EMA 50
$112.94
Below
EMA 200
$137.30
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
58
Growth
14
Profitability
1
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.7×
P/B Ratio
2.80×
PEG Ratio
4.48
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$190.96
52W Low
$104.28
Quality & Growth
ROE
16.8%
ROA
13.1%
Gross Margin
24.2%
Operating Margin
11.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.04
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.8x; PEG ratio of 4.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 2.58 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.04; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (9.06); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 16.1%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+26.1% -> -40.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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