NASDAQ · STOCK
Aon plc
$367.42
52W $304.59 – $381.00
58/100
$75904.49T
19.5
0.70
Price History (6M)
Is AON Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Aon plc (AON) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 13, 2026.
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 57% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Risk Analyst: High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.63) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 70.8 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (86.0) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 2.4% downside vs 0.4% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 13, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 45.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 8.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 55.3% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 71 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.63) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 26 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.2 to 57.9.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-12 to 2026-07-13 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
70.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
2.890
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$347.99
Resistance
$358.04
Bollinger %B
0.82
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$349.76
Above
EMA 21
$339.84
Above
EMA 50
$331.66
Above
EMA 200
$335.81
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
62
Growth
58
Profitability
1
Financial Health
34
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.5×
P/B Ratio
7.78×
PEG Ratio
0.35
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$381.00
52W Low
$304.59
Quality & Growth
ROE
39.5%
ROA
7.3%
Gross Margin
66.0%
Operating Margin
27.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.57
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.8x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.4%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.7%; Current ratio of 1.07 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.57; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (16.32); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.3%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+59.0% -> +33.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 70.8 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (86.0) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 2.4% downside vs 0.4% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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