NASDAQ · STOCK
Bunge Global
$106.14
52W $76.01 – $134.87
52/100
$20.41B
20.6
0.64
Is BG Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Bunge Global (BG) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.44 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.56 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 56.9% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 18.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.7% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 56.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 29.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- ROE of only 4.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -45.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- RSI at 21 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 62%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 29.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 56.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -45.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 21 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.6 to 51.6.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
25.7
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-1.278
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$101.56
Resistance
$106.98
Bollinger %B
0.07
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$112.76
Below
EMA 21
$114.85
Below
EMA 50
$117.01
Below
EMA 200
$111.49
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
92
Growth
82
Profitability
0
Financial Health
68
Cash Flow
8
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.6×
P/B Ratio
1.31×
PEG Ratio
-0.42
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$134.87
52W Low
$76.01
Quality & Growth
ROE
5.1%
ROA
1.8%
Gross Margin
4.9%
Operating Margin
2.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.05
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of -0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.0%; Current ratio of 1.57 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.05; Free cash flow margin of -0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is negative (-3.63); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.3%; EPS growth accelerating (-8.0% -> +9.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 52.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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