NASDAQ · STOCK
Chipotle Mexican Grill
$35.26
52W $28.04 – $57.04
61/100
$44.38B
29.6
0.95
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 67% agreement on a bullish lean. Growth Analyst: Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive. Risk Analyst: Bollinger bandwidth of 17.4% signals elevated volatility. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 10.9% downside vs 0.7% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.245
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$31.43
Resistance
$35.51
Bollinger %B
0.89
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$34.14
Above
EMA 21
$33.24
Above
EMA 50
$32.90
Above
EMA 200
$36.38
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
21
Growth
39
Profitability
71
Financial Health
68
Valuation
P/E Ratio
29.6×
P/B Ratio
17.28×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
52W High
$57.04
52W Low
$28.04
Quality & Growth
ROE
4845.0%
ROA
1598.0%
Gross Margin
2996.0%
Operating Margin
1527.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+567.0%
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 29.6 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 17.3x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 5.7%; EPS growth (YoY) of -4.1%; Return on equity of 48.4%; Return on assets of 16.0%; Net margin of 12.0%; Gross margin of 30.0%; Current ratio of 1.23 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.4%; EPS growth accelerating (-13.8% -> -4.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 10.9% downside vs 0.7% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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