NASDAQ · STOCK
Coca-Cola Consolidated
$188.01
52W $110.40 – $219.65
53/100
$14.76B
24.0
0.53
Is COKE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Coca-Cola Consolidated (COKE) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.43 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.57 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Technical Analyst sees a compelling case — price structure making higher highs and higher lows. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -79.4% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 39.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -79.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 52%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 39.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 7.8x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -79.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.8 to 52.6.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.951
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$177.47
Resistance
$218.20
Bollinger %B
0.73
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$187.25
Above
EMA 21
$185.03
Above
EMA 50
$183.99
Above
EMA 200
$171.49
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
86
Growth
0
Profitability
0
Financial Health
68
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.0×
P/B Ratio
-16.50×
PEG Ratio
1.10
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$219.65
52W Low
$110.40
Quality & Growth
ROE
-77.1%
ROA
12.3%
Gross Margin
39.3%
Operating Margin
13.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-4.28
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -16.5x; PEG ratio of 1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.8%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.23 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -4.28; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (11.72); EPS growth decelerating (+2.4% -> -15.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -88.3%
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