NASDAQ · STOCK
Dollar General
$118.83
52W $95.11 – $158.23
66/100
$25.53B
16.1
0.24
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 80% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 11.9% downside vs 6.7% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Unanimous
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.039
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$104.70
Resistance
$126.83
Bollinger %B
0.82
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$116.40
Above
EMA 21
$114.90
Above
EMA 50
$114.86
Above
EMA 200
$118.32
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
81
Growth
69
Profitability
47
Financial Health
63
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.1×
P/B Ratio
3.71×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
2.04%
52W High
$158.23
52W Low
$95.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
1865.0%
ROA
497.0%
Gross Margin
3083.0%
Operating Margin
526.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+472.0%
Debt / Equity
0.54
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.7x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 4.7%; EPS growth (YoY) of 34.9%; Return on equity of 18.6%; Return on assets of 5.0%; Net margin of 3.6%; Gross margin of 30.8%; Current ratio of 1.13 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.54; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+50.8% -> +3.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 11.9% downside vs 6.7% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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