NASDAQ · STOCK
Estée Lauder Companies (The)
$82.69
52W $66.22 – $121.64
51/100
$30.58B
—
1.24
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 43% agreement on a neutral lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Risk Analyst: High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.89) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.096) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Fundamental score is weak (28.3/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 7.5x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.89) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 27 articles, 14d)
− Negative filing: Costs associated with exit or disposal (restructuring) (5d ago)
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.096
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$82.52
Resistance
$84.25
Bollinger %B
0.41
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$82.71
Below
EMA 21
$83.18
Below
EMA 50
$83.59
Below
EMA 200
$88.12
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
7
Growth
45
Profitability
25
Financial Health
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
7.52×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
1.66%
52W High
$121.64
52W Low
$66.22
Quality & Growth
ROE
-629.0%
ROA
-126.0%
Gross Margin
7469.0%
Operating Margin
289.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+30.0%
Debt / Equity
1.89
AI Fundamental Assessment
Price-to-book of 7.5x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 0.3%; Return on equity of -6.3%; Return on assets of -1.3%; Net margin of -1.7%; Gross margin of 74.7%; Current ratio of 1.30 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.89; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 36.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+178.1% -> +2.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.096) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Fundamental score is weak (28.3/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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