NASDAQ · STOCK
Ingredion
$99.41
52W $94.44 – $130.67
52/100
$6.27B
9.4
0.60
Is INGR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Ingredion (INGR) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.03 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.97 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 9.3 is inexpensive for the broad market. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -2.2% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 9.3 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 15.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.3% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -2.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- News sentiment is negative (-0.20 across 5 articles, 14d) — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 72%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 9.3 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bearish
18
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -2.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.20 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.2 to 52.0.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- News Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.013
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$97.58
Resistance
$100.88
Bollinger %B
0.36
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$100.87
Below
EMA 21
$100.49
Below
EMA 50
$101.42
Below
EMA 200
$109.77
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
27
Profitability
1
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.4×
P/B Ratio
1.43×
PEG Ratio
1.01
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$130.67
52W Low
$94.44
Quality & Growth
ROE
16.8%
ROA
9.2%
Gross Margin
24.5%
Operating Margin
13.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.41
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of 1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 2.76 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.41; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (11.75); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 7.2%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth roughly steady (-8.0% -> -7.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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