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Kellanova

K Consumer Defensive Unknown Updated July 31, 2026 No current rating: last trade 234 days ago. Score shown is from July 31, 2026.
$83.44
52W $76.48 – $83.65
52/100
$29.03B
31.7
0.25
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
Conviction: Moderate · 71% agreement · 7 analysts
-2.3%
Moderate

Is K Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Kellanova (K) Watch with a composite score of 52/100 , based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement. Last updated July 31, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.04 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.96 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

Some positive signals exist — price structure making higher highs and higher lows — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • ROE of 31.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait — Value
  • EPS growing 25.6% YoY — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 7.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Debt-to-equity of 1.52 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
  • Revenue declining -6.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.52) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 56%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst neutral
50 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 31.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 7.4x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 25.6% YoY
− Revenue declining -6.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst bullish
61 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst neutral
45 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.52) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst bullish
60 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
− No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 53.0 to 52.0.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
59.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.044
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.62
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$83.35 Above
EMA 21
$83.28 Above
EMA 50
$82.73 Above
EMA 200
$80.74 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
46
Growth
43
Profitability
1
Financial Health
26
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio 31.7×
P/B Ratio 6.91×
PEG Ratio 1.24
Dividend Yield 0.01%
52W High $83.65
52W Low $76.48
Quality & Growth
ROE 35.6%
ROA 8.6%
Gross Margin 33.9%
Operating Margin 13.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 1.48
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.9x; PEG ratio of 1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.4%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 0.68 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.48; Free cash flow margin of 0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (0.92); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.2%; EPS growth decelerating (+4.4% -> +0.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
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