NASDAQ · STOCK
Keurig Dr Pepper
$31.13
52W $24.88 – $35.94
52/100
$42.34B
23.1
0.41
Is KDP Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.14 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.86 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.64 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.9% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Current ratio of 0.64 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 60%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.64 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.5 to 51.9.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 48->58 (+10); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.066
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$26.41
Resistance
$31.30
Bollinger %B
0.62
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$30.90
Above
EMA 21
$30.93
Above
EMA 50
$30.64
Above
EMA 200
$29.60
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
88
Growth
40
Profitability
0
Financial Health
87
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.1×
P/B Ratio
1.67×
PEG Ratio
1.01
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$35.94
52W Low
$24.88
Quality & Growth
ROE
8.2%
ROA
3.8%
Gross Margin
53.8%
Operating Margin
21.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.02
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 23.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of 1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 2.31 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.02; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.16); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.8%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+11.1% -> -35.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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