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Kraft Heinz Company

KHC Consumer Defensive Unknown Updated July 31, 2026
$25.86
52W $21.04 – $28.10
53/100
$30.65B
-5.3
0.08
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
Conviction: Unanimous · 100% agreement · 6 analysts
+12.8%
-1.6%
8.18:1
Unanimous

Is KHC Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Watch with a composite score of 53/100 , based on 6 analysts with 100% agreement. Last updated July 31, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.15 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.85 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Price-to-book of 0.7x is a discount to asset value — Value
  • Dividend yield of 6.1% pays you to wait — Value
  • 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
Bear Case
  • ROE of only -13.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • Revenue declining -1.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 48%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.7x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -13.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst neutral
43 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -1.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst neutral
59 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend
Macro Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 52.9 to 52.9.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: score 51->59 (+8).
  • Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
47.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.009
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$25.45
Resistance
$29.18
Bollinger %B
0.54
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$26.26 Below
EMA 21
$25.68 Above
EMA 50
$24.77 Above
EMA 200
$24.55 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
100
Growth
55
Profitability
0
Financial Health
66
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio -5.3×
P/B Ratio 0.73×
PEG Ratio 0.02
Dividend Yield 0.06%
52W High $28.10
52W Low $21.04
Quality & Growth
ROE -14.0%
ROA -7.1%
Gross Margin 33.3%
Operating Margin -19.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.50
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -5.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.7x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.1%; Return on assets of -0.1%; Net margin of -0.2%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.20 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.50; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.32); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+9.8% -> -13.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
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