NASDAQ · STOCK
Mondelez International
$62.31
52W $51.20 – $66.65
53/100
$79.53B
22.9
0.41
Is MDLZ Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Mondelez International (MDLZ) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.88 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.12 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.59 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- EPS declining -0.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.59 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 46%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait
Growth Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -0.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.59 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.7 to 53.1.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 6 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 51->59 (+8).
- Value Analyst: score 48->58 (+10); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
55.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.398
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$59.38
Resistance
$62.78
Bollinger %B
0.77
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$61.96
Above
EMA 21
$61.17
Above
EMA 50
$60.73
Above
EMA 200
$60.29
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
82
Growth
69
Profitability
0
Financial Health
42
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.9×
P/B Ratio
3.02×
PEG Ratio
-15.81
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$66.65
52W Low
$51.20
Quality & Growth
ROE
9.5%
ROA
3.4%
Gross Margin
31.1%
Operating Margin
11.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.83
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.0x; PEG ratio of -15.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 0.60 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.83; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (2.39); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.2%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-6.9% -> +9.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 0.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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