NASDAQ · STOCK
Altria Group Inc.
$71.75
52W $54.70 – $74.56
70/100
$119.55B
15.0
0.51
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 43% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Risk Analyst: High leverage (debt-to-equity 10.38) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.056) — bearish momentum.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 11.6% downside vs 3.9% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
70/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 14.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 26.8x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -1.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 10.38) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.056
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$63.41
Resistance
$74.55
Bollinger %B
0.52
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$72.13
Below
EMA 21
$71.86
Below
EMA 50
$70.88
Above
EMA 200
$66.21
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
50
Growth
32
Profitability
100
Financial Health
0
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.0×
P/B Ratio
26.84×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
5.92%
52W High
$74.56
52W Low
$54.70
Quality & Growth
ROE
14965.0%
ROA
2352.0%
Gross Margin
6301.0%
Operating Margin
4720.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
-107.0%
Debt / Equity
10.38
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 26.8x; Revenue growth (YoY) of -1.1%; EPS growth (YoY) of -19.9%; Return on equity of 149.7%; Return on assets of 23.5%; Net margin of 34.3%; Gross margin of 63.0%; Current ratio of 0.65 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 10.38; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.8%; EPS growth accelerating (-10.3% -> +1.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.056) — bearish momentum.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 11.6% downside vs 3.9% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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