NASDAQ · STOCK
Tyson Foods
$57.91
52W $50.56 – $69.48
53/100
$20.63B
43.9
0.39
Is TSN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Tyson Foods (TSN) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.21 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.79 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.4% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 45.9 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 2.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -50.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- RSI at 71 is in overbought territory — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 50%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 45.9 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -50.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 71 is in overbought territory
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.0 to 52.8.
- Conviction changed from high to unanimous.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 83% to 100%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.298
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$57.90
Resistance
$66.36
Bollinger %B
0.41
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$59.15
Below
EMA 21
$58.68
Below
EMA 50
$59.34
Below
EMA 200
$59.65
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
73
Profitability
0
Financial Health
93
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
43.9×
P/B Ratio
1.13×
PEG Ratio
-0.88
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$69.48
52W Low
$50.56
Quality & Growth
ROE
2.6%
ROA
1.3%
Gross Margin
6.6%
Operating Margin
2.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.45
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 43.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.1x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 1.83 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.45; Free cash flow margin of 0.6% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.48); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-15.7% -> -10.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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