NASDAQ · STOCK
United Parcel Service
$112.60
52W $82.00 – $122.41
58/100
$94.97B
18.0
1.04
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 50% agreement on a neutral lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Growth Analyst: Revenue declining -2.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Daily uptrend conflicts with weekly downtrend — buying against the higher timeframe trend is higher risk.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 33.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 5.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -2.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
65.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.247
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$109.45
Resistance
$122.39
Bollinger %B
0.96
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$110.33
Above
EMA 21
$108.77
Above
EMA 50
$106.63
Above
EMA 200
$103.70
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
5
Profitability
76
Financial Health
43
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.0×
P/B Ratio
5.19×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
5.86%
52W High
$122.41
52W Low
$82.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
3303.0%
ROA
731.0%
Gross Margin
8306.0%
Operating Margin
846.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
-285.0%
Debt / Equity
1.49
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 18.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.2x; Revenue growth (YoY) of -2.9%; EPS growth (YoY) of -9.8%; Return on equity of 33.0%; Return on assets of 7.3%; Net margin of 5.9%; Gross margin of 83.1%; Current ratio of 1.22 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.49; Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Key Risks
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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