NASDAQ · STOCK
Allegion
$157.48
52W $125.00 – $183.11
57/100
$13.38B
20.5
0.86
Is ALLE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Allegion (ALLE) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.87 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.13 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 27.3% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 32.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 40 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 6.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 72 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 27.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 39%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 32.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.6x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 72 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 27.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 40 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.4 to 57.1.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 57% to 43%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
71.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.752
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$157.16
Resistance
$180.14
Bollinger %B
0.83
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$153.47
Above
EMA 21
$146.92
Above
EMA 50
$141.73
Above
EMA 200
$146.75
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
34
Growth
75
Profitability
1
Financial Health
86
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.5×
P/B Ratio
6.37×
PEG Ratio
3.54
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$183.11
52W Low
$125.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
31.1%
ROA
12.3%
Gross Margin
44.8%
Operating Margin
20.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.96
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.4x; PEG ratio of 3.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.93 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.96; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (7.96); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.2%; EPS growth accelerating (-7.2% -> +33.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 17.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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