NASDAQ · STOCK
Allegion
$136.76
52W $125.00 – $183.11
63/100
$13677.00T
18.5
0.86
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 50% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.062) — bearish momentum.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 1.5% downside vs 0.0% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 32.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.6x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.062
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$134.74
Resistance
$136.79
Bollinger %B
0.56
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$137.17
Below
EMA 21
$135.98
Above
EMA 50
$136.32
Above
EMA 200
$146.69
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
41
Growth
40
Profitability
1
Financial Health
85
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.5×
P/B Ratio
5.60×
PEG Ratio
6.32
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$183.11
52W Low
$125.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
31.1%
ROA
12.3%
Gross Margin
45.0%
Operating Margin
20.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.97
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.6x; PEG ratio of 6.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.91 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.97; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (8.18); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 6.9%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-15.7% -> -7.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.062) — bearish momentum.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 1.5% downside vs 0.0% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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